I think that what you describe as being 2 to 15 percent probable sounds more extreme than what the original post described as being 5 percent probable. You can have “significant erosion” of some groups’ rights without leaving the country being the only reasonable option, especially if you’re not in those groups. It depends on what you’re trying to achieve by leaving, I guess.
Although if I were a trans person in the US right now, especially on medication, I’d be making, if not necessarily immediately executing, some detailed escape plans that could be executed on short notice.
I think that what you describe as being 2 to 15 percent probable sounds more extreme than what the original post described as being 5 percent probable. You can have “significant erosion” of some groups’ rights without leaving the country being the only reasonable option, especially if you’re not in those groups. It depends on what you’re trying to achieve by leaving, I guess.
Although if I were a trans person in the US right now, especially on medication, I’d be making, if not necessarily immediately executing, some detailed escape plans that could be executed on short notice.