Curated. A parable explaining a probability lesson that many would benefit from – what’s not to love? I like the format, I found the dialog/parable amusing rather than dry, and I think the point is valuable (and due to the format, memorable). I’ll confess that I think this post will have me looking at blends of different forecasts more carefully, especially as regards to actual decision-making (particular regarding AI forecasts which are feeling increasingly relevant to decision-making these day).
Curated. A parable explaining a probability lesson that many would benefit from – what’s not to love? I like the format, I found the dialog/parable amusing rather than dry, and I think the point is valuable (and due to the format, memorable). I’ll confess that I think this post will have me looking at blends of different forecasts more carefully, especially as regards to actual decision-making (particular regarding AI forecasts which are feeling increasingly relevant to decision-making these day).