Their judgements are random. So 50 per cent BBs think that they are in non-random reality even if they are in random.
The quoted figure does not follow. Random, yes; but it’s not a coinflip. Given that a Boltzmann Brain can randomly appear with any set of memories, and given that the potential set of random universes is vastly larger than the potential set of non-random universes, I’d imagine that the odds of a randomly-selected Boltzmann Brain thinking it is in a non-random universe are pretty low...
Hmmm. If the Boltzmann Brain has no time to think and update its own opinions from its own memory, then it is overwhelmingly likely that it has no opinion one way or another about whether or not it is in a random universe. In fact, it is overwhelmingly likely that it does not even understand the question, because its mindspace does not include the concepts of both “random” and “universe”...
Of course most BBs don’t not think about whether are they random or not. But from subset of BBs who have thoughts about it (we cant say they are thinking as it is longer process), its thoughts are random, and 50 per cent thinks that they are not random.
So experience updating of BB probabilities is not strong, but I am still not afraid to be BB by two other reasons.
Any BB is a copy of a real observer, and so I am real. (depends of identity solving)
BBs and real observers are not dominating class of observers. There is a third class, that is Bolzmann supercomputers which simulate our reality. They a medium size fluctuation which are very effective in creation trillions of observers moments which are rather consistent. But small amount of randomness also exist in such simulated universes ( it could be experimentally found). Hope to elaborate the idea in long post soon.
The quoted figure does not follow. Random, yes; but it’s not a coinflip. Given that a Boltzmann Brain can randomly appear with any set of memories, and given that the potential set of random universes is vastly larger than the potential set of non-random universes, I’d imagine that the odds of a randomly-selected Boltzmann Brain thinking it is in a non-random universe are pretty low...
It will be true if BB would have time to think about their experiences and ability to come to logical conclusions. But BBs opinions are also random.
Hmmm. If the Boltzmann Brain has no time to think and update its own opinions from its own memory, then it is overwhelmingly likely that it has no opinion one way or another about whether or not it is in a random universe. In fact, it is overwhelmingly likely that it does not even understand the question, because its mindspace does not include the concepts of both “random” and “universe”...
Of course most BBs don’t not think about whether are they random or not. But from subset of BBs who have thoughts about it (we cant say they are thinking as it is longer process), its thoughts are random, and 50 per cent thinks that they are not random. So experience updating of BB probabilities is not strong, but I am still not afraid to be BB by two other reasons.
Any BB is a copy of a real observer, and so I am real. (depends of identity solving)
BBs and real observers are not dominating class of observers. There is a third class, that is Bolzmann supercomputers which simulate our reality. They a medium size fluctuation which are very effective in creation trillions of observers moments which are rather consistent. But small amount of randomness also exist in such simulated universes ( it could be experimentally found). Hope to elaborate the idea in long post soon.