It seems to me that many people don’t realize that math results have to be validly interpreted in order to be compelling. LOTS of bad thinking by smart people tends to involve sloppiness in the interpretation of the math. Auman was prone to this problem and so are people thinking about his agreement theorem.
This may be pointing at a bias that I don’t have a name for—the belief that the pathway between a possible cause-effect pair can be neglected.
It’s believing that all you need is the right laws, without having to pay attention to how they’re enforced. It’s believing that if you are the right sort of person, your life will automatically work well. It’s believing that more education will lead to a more prosperous society without having ways for people to apply what they know.
It seems to me that many people don’t realize that math results have to be validly interpreted in order to be compelling. LOTS of bad thinking by smart people tends to involve sloppiness in the interpretation of the math. Auman was prone to this problem and so are people thinking about his agreement theorem.
This may be pointing at a bias that I don’t have a name for—the belief that the pathway between a possible cause-effect pair can be neglected.
It’s believing that all you need is the right laws, without having to pay attention to how they’re enforced. It’s believing that if you are the right sort of person, your life will automatically work well. It’s believing that more education will lead to a more prosperous society without having ways for people to apply what they know.