“Who precommits first wins” means that if one party can make the other party learn about it’s precommitment before the other party can commit the first party wins.
I don’t agree. Not because I think you are believing anything crazy. I disagree with what is rational for the second person to do. I say that anything an agent can do by precommiting to an action it can also do just because it is the rational thing to do. Basically, any time you are in a situation where you think “I wish I could go back in time and change my source code that right now I would be precommitted to doing X” just do X. It’s a bit counter-intuitive but it seems to give you the right answer. In this case the Baron will just not choose to precommit to defection because he knows that will not work due to the ‘if I could time travel...” policy that he reads in your source code. It’s kind of like ‘free precommitment’!
ETA: The word ‘rational’ was quoted, distancing FAWS own belief from a possible belief that some other people may call “rational”. So I do agree. :)
I thought it was obvious that I have exactly the same opinion you voice in this post? After all I used quotes for rational and mentioned that considering this not rational is equivalent to an implicit precommitment. And I thought that It’s obvious that I already have an implicit precommitment through the sort of mechanism you describe from my other posts.
Pardon me, I did not notice the quotes you placed around “rational”. I was surprised by what seemed to me to be a false claim because your other posts did suggest to me that you ‘get it’. Oversights like that are my cue to sleep!
I don’t agree. Not because I think you are believing anything crazy. I disagree with what is rational for the second person to do. I say that anything an agent can do by precommiting to an action it can also do just because it is the rational thing to do. Basically, any time you are in a situation where you think “I wish I could go back in time and change my source code that right now I would be precommitted to doing X” just do X. It’s a bit counter-intuitive but it seems to give you the right answer. In this case the Baron will just not choose to precommit to defection because he knows that will not work due to the ‘if I could time travel...” policy that he reads in your source code. It’s kind of like ‘free precommitment’!
ETA: The word ‘rational’ was quoted, distancing FAWS own belief from a possible belief that some other people may call “rational”. So I do agree. :)
I thought it was obvious that I have exactly the same opinion you voice in this post? After all I used quotes for rational and mentioned that considering this not rational is equivalent to an implicit precommitment. And I thought that It’s obvious that I already have an implicit precommitment through the sort of mechanism you describe from my other posts.
Pardon me, I did not notice the quotes you placed around “rational”. I was surprised by what seemed to me to be a false claim because your other posts did suggest to me that you ‘get it’. Oversights like that are my cue to sleep!