I’m surprised (unless I’ve missed it) that nobody has explicitly pointed out the most obvious reason to take the responses of the form “Kat/Emerson/Drew have been really good to me personally” as very weak evidence at best.
The allegations imply that in the present situation, Kat/Emerson/Drew would immediately tell anyone in their orbit to come and post positive testimonials of them under promises of reward or threat of retaliation (precisely as the quoted Glassdoor review says).
The only thing that would be strong evidence against the claims here would be direct counterevidence to the claims in the post. Everything else so far is a smokescreen.
I was confused by the disagree votes on this comment, so I looked—the comment in question is highest on the default “new and upvoted” sorting, but it isn’t highest on the “top” sorting.
Kat/Emerson/Drew would immediately tell anyone in their orbit to come and post positive testimonials of them under promises of reward or threat of retaliation
A loyal friend would also post positive testimonials, without promises or threats. (But I agree that this is weak evidence about allegations regarding behavior towards other people.)
I’m surprised (unless I’ve missed it) that nobody has explicitly pointed out the most obvious reason to take the responses of the form “Kat/Emerson/Drew have been really good to me personally” as very weak evidence at best.
The allegations imply that in the present situation, Kat/Emerson/Drew would immediately tell anyone in their orbit to come and post positive testimonials of them under promises of reward or threat of retaliation (precisely as the quoted Glassdoor review says).
P(generic positive testimonials | accusation true) ≈ P(generic positive testimonials | accusation false).
The only thing that would be strong evidence against the claims here would be direct counterevidence to the claims in the post. Everything else so far is a smokescreen.
The currently top comment on the EA Forum copy of this post says that at least one person who wrote a positive testimonial was asked to leave a comment by Nonlinear (but they didn’t say it had to be positive) https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/32LMQsjEMm6NK2GTH/sharing-information-about-nonlinear?commentId=kqQK2So3L5NJKEcYE
I was confused by the disagree votes on this comment, so I looked—the comment in question is highest on the default “new and upvoted” sorting, but it isn’t highest on the “top” sorting.
A loyal friend would also post positive testimonials, without promises or threats. (But I agree that this is weak evidence about allegations regarding behavior towards other people.)
Which is why I said that the probabilities are similar, rather than claiming the left side exceeds the right side.