“I have read everything I could find that rationalists have written on AI safety. I came across many interesting ideas, I studied them carefully until I understood them well, and I am convinced that many are correct. Now I’m ready to see how all the pieces fit together to show that an AI moratorium is the correct course of action. To be clear, I don’t mean a document written for the layperson, or any other kind of introductory document. I’m ready for the real stuff now. Show me your actual argument in all its glory. Don’t hold back.”
After some careful consideration, you:
(a) helpfully provide a link to A List of Lethalities
(b) suggest that he read the sequences
(c) patiently explain that if he was smart enough to understand the argument then he would have already figured it out for himself
(d) leave him on read
(e) explain that the real argument was written once, but it has since been taken down, and unfortunately nobody’s gotten around to rehosting it since
(f) provide a link to a page which presents a sound argument[0] in favour of an AI moratorium
===
Hopefully, the best response here is obvious. But currently no such page exists.
It’s a stretch to expect to be taken seriously without such a page.
[0]By this I mean an argument whose premises are all correct and which collectively entail the conclusion that an AI moratorium should be implemented.
Someone approaches you with a question:
“I have read everything I could find that rationalists have written on AI safety. I came across many interesting ideas, I studied them carefully until I understood them well, and I am convinced that many are correct. Now I’m ready to see how all the pieces fit together to show that an AI moratorium is the correct course of action. To be clear, I don’t mean a document written for the layperson, or any other kind of introductory document. I’m ready for the real stuff now. Show me your actual argument in all its glory. Don’t hold back.”
After some careful consideration, you:
(a) helpfully provide a link to A List of Lethalities
(b) suggest that he read the sequences
(c) patiently explain that if he was smart enough to understand the argument then he would have already figured it out for himself
(d) leave him on read
(e) explain that the real argument was written once, but it has since been taken down, and unfortunately nobody’s gotten around to rehosting it since
(f) provide a link to a page which presents a sound argument[0] in favour of an AI moratorium
===
Hopefully, the best response here is obvious. But currently no such page exists.
It’s a stretch to expect to be taken seriously without such a page.
[0]By this I mean an argument whose premises are all correct and which collectively entail the conclusion that an AI moratorium should be implemented.