The market named “This Market Will Resolve No At The End Of 2025” will resolve to No at the end of 2025. Like it says in its title. What’s unclear about this?
They (and initially I) read it as a question: “True or false: this market will resolve No at the end of 2025?”
Liar’s paradox, prediction market edition.
Ohh I see. Do you have a suggested rephrasing?
I don’t think there’s a way to resolve it? It will basically always be a prediction on the reliability of the statement.
The market named “This Market Will Resolve No At The End Of 2025” will resolve to No at the end of 2025. Like it says in its title. What’s unclear about this?
They (and initially I) read it as a question: “True or false: this market will resolve No at the end of 2025?”
Liar’s paradox, prediction market edition.
Ohh I see. Do you have a suggested rephrasing?
I don’t think there’s a way to resolve it? It will basically always be a prediction on the reliability of the statement.