How do you measure the “explosiveness” of an explosion? By measuring the base of its exponential growth? If so, I would classify the hypothesis that the explosion will get “more explosive” as a somewhat speculative one. The growth in CPU clock rates has already run out of steam. The explosion may well get faster in some areas—but getting more “explosive” has got to be different from that.
Today, information technology is exploding in the same sense that the nucleii in a nuclear bomb are exploding—by exhibiting exponential growth processes. The explosion is already happening. How fast it is happening is really another issue.
But not as explosive as it will (may) be in the future; this is what has people worried.
How do you measure the “explosiveness” of an explosion? By measuring the base of its exponential growth? If so, I would classify the hypothesis that the explosion will get “more explosive” as a somewhat speculative one. The growth in CPU clock rates has already run out of steam. The explosion may well get faster in some areas—but getting more “explosive” has got to be different from that.
Today, information technology is exploding in the same sense that the nucleii in a nuclear bomb are exploding—by exhibiting exponential growth processes. The explosion is already happening. How fast it is happening is really another issue.