Statistics is actually fun, as the notion of probability is so non-intuitive. There’s a 1 in 6 chance of throwing a deuce. What does that mean in the real world ? Well, if I throw the die 6 times, it should come up once ? euh no… Well if I throw 100 sequences of 6 throws I can predict the number of times the deuce will show up ? euh, no.… Well, if I throw 1000 runs of 100 sequences of 6 throws...… sorry, you still don’t know one damn thing about what the result will be. So what does probability mean ? It’s great ! One of life’s rich prizes is to watch someone making a prediction on a particular instance based on statistical reasoning.
Statistics is actually fun, as the notion of probability is so non-intuitive. There’s a 1 in 6 chance of throwing a deuce. What does that mean in the real world ? Well, if I throw the die 6 times, it should come up once ? euh no… Well if I throw 100 sequences of 6 throws I can predict the number of times the deuce will show up ? euh, no.… Well, if I throw 1000 runs of 100 sequences of 6 throws...… sorry, you still don’t know one damn thing about what the result will be. So what does probability mean ? It’s great ! One of life’s rich prizes is to watch someone making a prediction on a particular instance based on statistical reasoning.