This is a good point. Still, it would provide evidence of rationality, especially in the likely majority of cases where people didn’t try to game the system by e.g. deliberately picking dates far in advance of their actual completions, and then doing the last steps right at that date. My calibration scores on trivia have been fine for awhile now, but my calibration at predicting my own project completions is terrible.
I wonder to what degree this is a problem of poor calibration vs. poor motivation. Maybe commitment mechanisms like Stikk.com would have a greater marginal benefit than better calibration. I don’t know about you, but that seems to be the case with regards to similar issues on my end.
This is a good point. Still, it would provide evidence of rationality, especially in the likely majority of cases where people didn’t try to game the system by e.g. deliberately picking dates far in advance of their actual completions, and then doing the last steps right at that date. My calibration scores on trivia have been fine for awhile now, but my calibration at predicting my own project completions is terrible.
I wonder to what degree this is a problem of poor calibration vs. poor motivation. Maybe commitment mechanisms like Stikk.com would have a greater marginal benefit than better calibration. I don’t know about you, but that seems to be the case with regards to similar issues on my end.