something like ‘simulationist’ preservation seems to me to be well within two orders of magnitude of the probability of cryonics—both rely on society finding your information and deciding to do something with it
I don’t know if I agree with your estimate of the relative probabilities, but I admit that I exaggerated slightly to make my point. I agree that this strategy at least worth thinking about, especially if you think it is at all plausible that we are in a simulation. Something along these lines is the only one of the listed strategies that I thought had any merit.
A priori it seems hugely unlikely that with all of our ingenuity we can only come up with two plausible strategies for living forever (religion and cryonics)
I agree, and I also think we should try to think up other strategies. Here are some that people have already come up with besides cryonics and religion:
Figure out how to cure aging before you die.
Figure out how to upload brains before you die.
Create a powerful AI and delegate the problem to it (complementary to cryonics if the AI will only be created after you die).
This is an excellent comment, and it is extremely embarrassing for me that in a post on the plausible ‘live forever’ strategy space I missed three extremely plausible strategies for living forever, all of which are approximately complementary to cryonics (unless they’re successful, in which case; why would you bother). I’d like to take this as evidence that many eyes on the ‘live forever’ problem genuinely does result in utility increase, but I think it is a more plausible explanation that I’m not very good at visualising the strategy space!
I don’t know if I agree with your estimate of the relative probabilities, but I admit that I exaggerated slightly to make my point. I agree that this strategy at least worth thinking about, especially if you think it is at all plausible that we are in a simulation. Something along these lines is the only one of the listed strategies that I thought had any merit.
I agree, and I also think we should try to think up other strategies. Here are some that people have already come up with besides cryonics and religion:
Figure out how to cure aging before you die.
Figure out how to upload brains before you die.
Create a powerful AI and delegate the problem to it (complementary to cryonics if the AI will only be created after you die).
This is an excellent comment, and it is extremely embarrassing for me that in a post on the plausible ‘live forever’ strategy space I missed three extremely plausible strategies for living forever, all of which are approximately complementary to cryonics (unless they’re successful, in which case; why would you bother). I’d like to take this as evidence that many eyes on the ‘live forever’ problem genuinely does result in utility increase, but I think it is a more plausible explanation that I’m not very good at visualising the strategy space!