the total idea/argument space being exponentially vast and underexplored due to human limitations, therefore high confidence being unjustified in light of this
There’s also the thing that the idea/argument space contains dæmons/attractors exploiting shortcomings of human cognition, thus making humans hold them with higher confidence than they would if they didn’t have those limitations.
There’s also the thing that the idea/argument space contains dæmons/attractors exploiting shortcomings of human cognition, thus making humans hold them with higher confidence than they would if they didn’t have those limitations.