Trying to find a link I saw about CFAR doing some publishing some preliminary research on rationality techniques, including a finding that a technique they expected to work didn’t actually work. Does anyone know what I’m talking about? My Google fu is failing me, to the point that I’m wondering if I’m imagining it.
Trying to find a link I saw about CFAR doing some publishing some preliminary research on rationality techniques, including a finding that a technique they expected to work didn’t actually work. Does anyone know what I’m talking about? My Google fu is failing me, to the point that I’m wondering if I’m imagining it.
Surprise as a cue to probability: Experiment #1?
Ah, thanks, that was it.