I asked Ajeya, Daniel, and Ege to input their predictions for the two operationalizations into the UI for a random Metaculus market without submitting, and send me screenshots of the UI. Then I traced it over with Adobe Illustrator, combined the different predictions, and then made the final images.
How were the distributions near the top elicited from each participant?
I asked Ajeya, Daniel, and Ege to input their predictions for the two operationalizations into the UI for a random Metaculus market without submitting, and send me screenshots of the UI. Then I traced it over with Adobe Illustrator, combined the different predictions, and then made the final images.