In the early days of COVID, I listened to the This Week in Virology podcast (which is hosted by virologists) because I wanted to hear from experts. I was surprised by how they weren’t much better than the mainstream media at predicting what would happen. This could be because they were virologists and not epidemiologists.
Back when you were underestimating Covid, how much did you hear from epidemiologists? Either directly or filtered through media coverage?
I was going to give an answer about how “taking the outside view” should work, but I realized I needed this information first.
In the early days of COVID, I listened to the This Week in Virology podcast (which is hosted by virologists) because I wanted to hear from experts. I was surprised by how they weren’t much better than the mainstream media at predicting what would happen. This could be because they were virologists and not epidemiologists.