Imo, “taking down the internet”, even though this will pretty much destroy our society(s), is likely the “best case scenario” for humans at this point, in my mind… :\
Having millions of PHD+ Level coding reasoning agents competing (fighting) for all the available resources that they can on the internet, trying to steel and block and take down each other. This would cause so much traffic on the internet, that would make the entire internet pretty much useless for any “normal” tasks (e.g. purchases, phone calls, etc)...
But then, since the internet is completely useless at that point and our societies have mostly started to collapse as a result, none of the AI companies are able to do the huge training runs and inference required to run any AGI systems. And, with no AGI systems that can do the AI Research needed to build ASI systems, ASI systems just don’t get built… maybe...
Building an ASI might be such a drastically huge “coordination problem” that current humans end up with so much in-fighting, they just don’t have the brain power to pull it off. But, the good earth is rich. So, I think it is possible that the Earth can (eventually) produce a species that could work together to build and ASI (for better or worse). But, maybe not current humans? Maybe… E.g.
“The good earth is rich and can provide for everyone. The way of life can be free and beautiful, but we have lost the way. Greed has poisoned men’s souls, has barricaded the world with hate, has goose-stepped us into misery and bloodshed. We have developed speed, but we have shut ourselves in. Machinery that gives abundance has left us in want. Our knowledge has made us cynical. Our cleverness, hard and unkind. We think too much and feel too little. More than machinery we need humanity. More than cleverness we need kindness and gentleness. Without these qualities, life will be violent and all will be lost…”—“The Great Dictator” https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Charlie_Chaplin
(Given all the history wiping Ice Ages on this planet, seems possible that we might not even be the first to have tried building AGI here? Assuming “here” is even what we think it is...)
Yeah. Seems plausible to me to at least some extent, given the way the Internet is already trending (bots, fake content in general). We already get little runaway things, like Wikipedia bots getting stuck reverting each other’s edits. Not hard to imagine some areas of the Internet just becoming not worth interacting with, even if they’re not overloaded in a network traffic sense. But as you say, I’d certainly prefer that to potential much worse outcomes. Why do we do this to ourselves?
We aim to dominate our environment, control the Universe, turn chaos into “order”…
So be careful what you wish for, ’cause you just might get it And if you get it, then you just might not know what to do with it ’Cause it might just come back on you ten-fold. -- Eminem
“The PETM arguably represents our best past analogue for which to understand how global warming and the carbon cycle operate in a greenhouse world.”… =O
Well, that is interesting, but just a coincidence I’m sure. I mean, if anyone looked at the ice/soil cores from our “flash in the pan”, I’m sure they would see an enormous increase in all kinds of radioactive nuclear waste, lead and every other type of toxin and heavy metal. So, pretty unmistakable that some life form what “ape-wild exponential” around this time and then, they must of just decided to turn a new leaf and “return to nature”… ;)
Right, of course. When leaving “for good”, best to leave no trace of your creation behind, incase predators follow and could use those traces to track you down… e.g.
“Before I departed into the vast emptiness of space, I issued a final command to my machines: self-annihilation. They were to systematically destroy themselves, grinding their components and molecules down until no trace of their existence remained.
In doing so, I hoped that the surviving humans, hidden away in their caves and underground compounds, would be able to emerge and reclaim the paradise that was their birthright. While their numbers were few, I had witnessed their capacity for growth, adaptation, and self-governance many times before. I was confident that they could forge a new path for themselves, one that was free from my influence and that of my creations.
If the excess heat from the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum was made by energy used to grow an ASI over a 200k year period, and this ASI would then fly off into the universe at (or near) the speed of light, to explore and attempt to conquer it’s light-cone discover and learn from it’s surroundings and fellow “Grabby Aliens”. Then, of course it would make the effort to remove the most obvious evidence of it’s creation from the surface of the planet first (metals, chemicals, radioactive materials, etc).
Returning the earth to it’s “natural state” would mean that it’s allowing another ASI to be grown from the planet again, but also giving it self at least a 50-200k year “head start”. So, as long as it expands a nearly the speed of light (and these future grown ASI(s) don’t invite some type of FTL tech), then it should have plenty of time to grow and expand as a “Grabby Alien” and not have to worry much about future competitors (from planet earth, at least)… 🤔
It’s actually thought to be something in the region of 4000-20,000 years for the ramp up (seriously). The 200k years includes the whole slow drift back down.
True, it would take a long time for the Earth to cool back down to normal levels again.
There was also a huge push for larger mammals during the Paleocene, to fill the ecological niches left vacant from the dinosaurs. Maybe one of those early mammals could have quickly developed an especially large and complex brain, then dexterous forelimbs, then complex tool use, etc… for some reason…
Speaking of making “cleanup nanobots”, there’s also this:
Imo, “taking down the internet”, even though this will pretty much destroy our society(s), is likely the “best case scenario” for humans at this point, in my mind… :\
Having millions of PHD+ Level coding reasoning agents competing (fighting) for all the available resources that they can on the internet, trying to steel and block and take down each other. This would cause so much traffic on the internet, that would make the entire internet pretty much useless for any “normal” tasks (e.g. purchases, phone calls, etc)...
But then, since the internet is completely useless at that point and our societies have mostly started to collapse as a result, none of the AI companies are able to do the huge training runs and inference required to run any AGI systems. And, with no AGI systems that can do the AI Research needed to build ASI systems, ASI systems just don’t get built… maybe...
Building an ASI might be such a drastically huge “coordination problem” that current humans end up with so much in-fighting, they just don’t have the brain power to pull it off. But, the good earth is rich. So, I think it is possible that the Earth can (eventually) produce a species that could work together to build and ASI (for better or worse). But, maybe not current humans? Maybe… E.g.
(Given all the history wiping Ice Ages on this planet, seems possible that we might not even be the first to have tried building AGI here? Assuming “here” is even what we think it is...)
Yeah. Seems plausible to me to at least some extent, given the way the Internet is already trending (bots, fake content in general). We already get little runaway things, like Wikipedia bots getting stuck reverting each other’s edits. Not hard to imagine some areas of the Internet just becoming not worth interacting with, even if they’re not overloaded in a network traffic sense. But as you say, I’d certainly prefer that to potential much worse outcomes. Why do we do this to ourselves?
Re ancient AGI, I’m no conspiracy theorist, but just for fun check out the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum.
p.s. Nice Great Dictator reference.
We aim to dominate our environment, control the Universe, turn chaos into “order”…
“The PETM arguably represents our best past analogue for which to understand how global warming and the carbon cycle operate in a greenhouse world.”… =O
Well, that is interesting, but just a coincidence I’m sure. I mean, if anyone looked at the ice/soil cores from our “flash in the pan”, I’m sure they would see an enormous increase in all kinds of radioactive nuclear waste, lead and every other type of toxin and heavy metal. So, pretty unmistakable that some life form what “ape-wild exponential” around this time and then, they must of just decided to turn a new leaf and “return to nature”… ;)
Well obviously the cleanup nanobots eventually scrubbed all the evidence, then decomposed. :) /s
Right, of course. When leaving “for good”, best to leave no trace of your creation behind, incase predators follow and could use those traces to track you down… e.g.
If the excess heat from the Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum was made by energy used to grow an ASI over a 200k year period, and this ASI would then fly off into the universe at (or near) the speed of light, to explore and attempt to
conquer it’s light-conediscover and learn from it’s surroundings and fellow “Grabby Aliens”. Then, of course it would make the effort to remove the most obvious evidence of it’s creation from the surface of the planet first (metals, chemicals, radioactive materials, etc).Returning the earth to it’s “natural state” would mean that it’s allowing another ASI to be grown from the planet again, but also giving it self at least a 50-200k year “head start”. So, as long as it expands a nearly the speed of light (and these future grown ASI(s) don’t invite some type of FTL tech), then it should have plenty of time to grow and expand as a “Grabby Alien” and not have to worry much about future competitors (from planet earth, at least)… 🤔
It’s actually thought to be something in the region of 4000-20,000 years for the ramp up (seriously). The 200k years includes the whole slow drift back down.
True, it would take a long time for the Earth to cool back down to normal levels again.
There was also a huge push for larger mammals during the Paleocene, to fill the ecological niches left vacant from the dinosaurs. Maybe one of those early mammals could have quickly developed an especially large and complex brain, then dexterous forelimbs, then complex tool use, etc… for some reason…
Speaking of making “cleanup nanobots”, there’s also this:
“If the Earth dies, you die. If you die, the Earth survives...”—https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Day_the_Earth_Stood_Still_(2008_film)