I think getting RSI and a shot at superintelligence right just appears very difficult to me. I appreciate their constitution and found the parts i read thoughtful. But I don’t see them having found a way to reliably get the model to truly internalize it’s soul document. I also assume if they were able there would be parts that break down once you get to really critical amounts of intelligence.
By “succeeding” you mean getting Safe ASI, as opposed to getting any ASI at all, right? At least that’s how I read you, but at first I thought you meant “their RSI probably won’t lead to ASI”
Why you think Anthropic has low odds of succeeding?
I think getting RSI and a shot at superintelligence right just appears very difficult to me. I appreciate their constitution and found the parts i read thoughtful. But I don’t see them having found a way to reliably get the model to truly internalize it’s soul document. I also assume if they were able there would be parts that break down once you get to really critical amounts of intelligence.
By “succeeding” you mean getting Safe ASI, as opposed to getting any ASI at all, right? At least that’s how I read you, but at first I thought you meant “their RSI probably won’t lead to ASI”
Their RSI very likely won’t lead to safe ASI. That’s what I meant, hope that clears it up. Whether it leads to ASI is a separate question.