Maybe this wasn’t your intent, but framing this post as a rebuttal of Chapman doesn’t seem right to me. His main point isn’t “Bayesianism isn’t useful”—more like “the Less Wrong memeplex has an unjustified fetish for Bayes’ Rule” which still seems pretty true.
Maybe this wasn’t your intent, but framing this post as a rebuttal of Chapman doesn’t seem right to me. His main point isn’t “Bayesianism isn’t useful”—more like “the Less Wrong memeplex has an unjustified fetish for Bayes’ Rule” which still seems pretty true.