exmateriae comments on Where Would Good Forecasts Most Help AI Governance Efforts?

[exmateriae]

Metaculus has a lot of those forecasts, for instance in those groups:

• AI Demonstrations https://​​www.metaculus.com/​​tournament/​​ai-demonstrations/​​

• AGI Outcomes https://​​www.metaculus.com/​​tournament/​​agi-horizons/​​

• Chinese AI Chips https://​​www.metaculus.com/​​tournament/​​chinese-ai-chips/​​

• AI Safety https://​​www.metaculus.com/​​tournament/​​ai-safety/​​