For instance, it seems like they waited until the peak of the news cycle about their conflict with the US government to release this update, and I suspect that was intentional, and also that this worked.
It happened a few days before the “peak”—it was at a point where barely anyone was paying attention to that particular conflict. Would bet against this being strategically timed[1] at 5:1, if we could reasonably operationalize and figure out a sufficient resolution criteria. (My current model is that Holden is the owner of that project, and would have been responsible for pressing the button on the announcement, and I don’t believe Holden would do that, or knowingly take instruction to do that. Most of my probability mass on what you said being the case lies in worlds where someone else was responsible for the timing of the release, somehow.)
Would not bet against a claim of the form “they didn’t change the timing of the announcement the way they would have done if the announcement had been about something they wanted to see discussion of, like a new model release”.
It happened a few days before the “peak”—it was at a point where barely anyone was paying attention to that particular conflict. Would bet against this being strategically timed[1] at 5:1, if we could reasonably operationalize and figure out a sufficient resolution criteria. (My current model is that Holden is the owner of that project, and would have been responsible for pressing the button on the announcement, and I don’t believe Holden would do that, or knowingly take instruction to do that. Most of my probability mass on what you said being the case lies in worlds where someone else was responsible for the timing of the release, somehow.)
Would not bet against a claim of the form “they didn’t change the timing of the announcement the way they would have done if the announcement had been about something they wanted to see discussion of, like a new model release”.