This just seems false to me though? I never knew a time without telephones, but it is intuitively obvious to me that their invention was a big deal. Like, I can just try to imagine a telephone-less world. In my head. Humans can do that.
To look at an llm-less world I don’t even have to do that, I can just visit my grandparents, who’ve probably never used an llm in their lives.
I think the point is more that it’s very difficult to estimate the difficulty of something youve never done and especially to differentiate between things you might be able to do yourself in, say, a few hours vs things requiring serious effort or expertise.
Most magic tricks, for example, are pretty simple conceptually and it’s easy to think “oh if I spent the weekend on it, I could that.” Sometimes that’s true but other moves that look very similar from the outside take hundreds of hours of practice to pull off.
This just seems false to me though? I never knew a time without telephones, but it is intuitively obvious to me that their invention was a big deal. Like, I can just try to imagine a telephone-less world. In my head. Humans can do that.
To look at an llm-less world I don’t even have to do that, I can just visit my grandparents, who’ve probably never used an llm in their lives.
I think the point is more that it’s very difficult to estimate the difficulty of something youve never done and especially to differentiate between things you might be able to do yourself in, say, a few hours vs things requiring serious effort or expertise.
Most magic tricks, for example, are pretty simple conceptually and it’s easy to think “oh if I spent the weekend on it, I could that.” Sometimes that’s true but other moves that look very similar from the outside take hundreds of hours of practice to pull off.