Very minor note: is there some way we can move away from the terms “slow takeoff” and “fast takeoff” here? My impression is that almost everyone is confused by these terms except for a handful of people who are actively engaged in the discussions. I’ve seen people variously say that slow takeoff means:
That AI systems will take decades to go from below human-level to above human level
That AI systems will take decades to go from slightly above human-level to radically superintelligent
That we’ll never get explosive growth (GDP will just continue to grow at like 3%)
Whereas the way you’re actually using the term is “We will have a smooth rather than abrupt transition to a regime of explosive growth.” I don’t have any suggestions for what terms we should use instead, only that we should probably come up with better ones.
Very minor note: is there some way we can move away from the terms “slow takeoff” and “fast takeoff” here? My impression is that almost everyone is confused by these terms except for a handful of people who are actively engaged in the discussions. I’ve seen people variously say that slow takeoff means:
That AI systems will take decades to go from below human-level to above human level
That AI systems will take decades to go from slightly above human-level to radically superintelligent
That we’ll never get explosive growth (GDP will just continue to grow at like 3%)
Whereas the way you’re actually using the term is “We will have a smooth rather than abrupt transition to a regime of explosive growth.” I don’t have any suggestions for what terms we should use instead, only that we should probably come up with better ones.