There are some more tangential discussions regarding this topic scattered throughout old posts. I would have posted what I found if my old notes were still handy.
In terms of published paper on this topic, there aren’t any as far as I can recall.
The most convincing argument against this possibility was provided by Lone Pine:
If there is a general theory of intelligence and it scales well, there are two possibilities. Either we are already in a hardware overhang, and we get an intelligence explosion even without recursive self improvement. Or the compute required is so great that it takes an expensive supercomputer to run, in which case it’ll be a slow takeoff. The probability that we have exactly human intelligence levels of compute seems low to me. Probably we either have way too much or way too little.
i.e. the ‘socialization phase’ would be a narrow window in the full range of possibilities allowed by human accessible resources. It wouldn’t take that long to make more compute available via worldwide Manhattan projects if a viable ‘AI child’ was proven, thus obviating the advantages that any human-like socialization could bring to bear in time.
I thought along similar lines and asked a question regarding the possibilities of sub-exponential growth, where the AI would be child-like and need some hand-holding to realize it’s full potential: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/3H8bmvgqBBpk48Dgn/what-s-the-likelihood-of-only-sub-exponential-growth-for-agi
There are some more tangential discussions regarding this topic scattered throughout old posts. I would have posted what I found if my old notes were still handy.
In terms of published paper on this topic, there aren’t any as far as I can recall.
The most convincing argument against this possibility was provided by Lone Pine:
i.e. the ‘socialization phase’ would be a narrow window in the full range of possibilities allowed by human accessible resources. It wouldn’t take that long to make more compute available via worldwide Manhattan projects if a viable ‘AI child’ was proven, thus obviating the advantages that any human-like socialization could bring to bear in time.