This one seems pretty relevant here:
Probing the Improbable: Methodological Challenges for Risks with Low Probabilities and High Stakes—Toby Ord, Rafaela Hillerbrand, Anders Sandberg
http://arxiv.org/abs/0810.5515
Thanks, also added to the wiki page (which now seems to have two related but non-identical topics and probably needs to split).
This one seems pretty relevant here:
http://arxiv.org/abs/0810.5515
Thanks, also added to the wiki page (which now seems to have two related but non-identical topics and probably needs to split).