Foretold (https://www.foretold.io/) supports many continuous functions including normal for predictions and resolutions. It also had scoring rules for continuous predictions and resolution functions, and composite functions for both. The creator, Ozzie Gooen, was working on an even more sophisticated system but I’m not sure what stage that’s currently at.
Foretold (https://www.foretold.io/) supports many continuous functions including normal for predictions and resolutions. It also had scoring rules for continuous predictions and resolution functions, and composite functions for both. The creator, Ozzie Gooen, was working on an even more sophisticated system but I’m not sure what stage that’s currently at.
The more sophisticated system is Squiggle. It’s basically a prototype. I haven’t updated it since the posts I made about it last year.
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/i5BWqSzuLbpTSoTc4/squiggle-an-overview