assorted varieties of gradual disempowerment do seem like genuine long term threats
however, by the nature of the idea, it involves talking a lot about relatively small present-day harms from AI
therefore gradual disempowerment is highly at-risk of being coopted by people who mostly just want to talk about present day harms, distracting from both AI x-risk overall and even perhaps from gradual-disempowerment-related x-risk
The impression I got from Ngo’s post is that:
assorted varieties of gradual disempowerment do seem like genuine long term threats
however, by the nature of the idea, it involves talking a lot about relatively small present-day harms from AI
therefore gradual disempowerment is highly at-risk of being coopted by people who mostly just want to talk about present day harms, distracting from both AI x-risk overall and even perhaps from gradual-disempowerment-related x-risk