You can’t necessarily convince them, and I didn’t say you could, necessarily. That depends on the probability of the claims that morality can be figured out and/or turned into a persuasive argument. These need to be estimated in order to estimate the likeliness of the MIRI solution being optimal, since the higher the probability of alternatives the lower the probability of the MIRI scenario.
You can’t necessarily convince them, and I didn’t say you could, necessarily. That depends on the probability of the claims that morality can be figured out and/or turned into a persuasive argument. These need to be estimated in order to estimate the likeliness of the MIRI solution being optimal, since the higher the probability of alternatives the lower the probability of the MIRI scenario.
Probabilities make a difference.