p(Draft Board is even AWARE of p4wnc6 really being John Smith)
TIMES
p(Draft Board even bothering with Google)
TIMES
p(LessWrong is a top result)
TIMES
p(An old thread is high on Google) AND/OR p(They spend time going through all their old threads)
So, um… seriously? You consider that compound possibility MORE LIKELY than LessWrong producing useful draft-dodging advice? I can’t help but think that would be strong evidence that LessWrong is bloody useless at problem solving, if it were true.
I allude to this point and get −3 votes. I appreciate this point. There are many good criticisms of what I’ve written. But this idea that I should be worried about an “internet trail” about it is not one of them.
That’s ridiculous. I have no problem if the draft board Googles this thread. Maybe I’m a poor writer, but I think even a cursory reading of this thread reveals that (a) I am arguing from a position of sincere belief in conscientious objection, and (b) there’s a difference between making an argument for conscientious objection and asking questions about behavior that will be correlated to desired outcomes conditional upon sincere belief in conscientious objection. It seems you are unwilling to examine a distinction between the two, or at least you are unwilling to speak here as if there’s a distinction between the two or perhaps you think that it is impossible for draft boards to believe there is such a distinction.
And you assign a far higher prior probability to the event that this thread would negatively reflect on me if seen by a draft board than I do.
Somewhere where there’s no risk of the draft board googling it, that’s where.
p(Draft Board is even AWARE of p4wnc6 really being John Smith) TIMES p(Draft Board even bothering with Google) TIMES p(LessWrong is a top result) TIMES p(An old thread is high on Google) AND/OR p(They spend time going through all their old threads)
So, um… seriously? You consider that compound possibility MORE LIKELY than LessWrong producing useful draft-dodging advice? I can’t help but think that would be strong evidence that LessWrong is bloody useless at problem solving, if it were true.
I allude to this point and get −3 votes. I appreciate this point. There are many good criticisms of what I’ve written. But this idea that I should be worried about an “internet trail” about it is not one of them.
That’s ridiculous. I have no problem if the draft board Googles this thread. Maybe I’m a poor writer, but I think even a cursory reading of this thread reveals that (a) I am arguing from a position of sincere belief in conscientious objection, and (b) there’s a difference between making an argument for conscientious objection and asking questions about behavior that will be correlated to desired outcomes conditional upon sincere belief in conscientious objection. It seems you are unwilling to examine a distinction between the two, or at least you are unwilling to speak here as if there’s a distinction between the two or perhaps you think that it is impossible for draft boards to believe there is such a distinction.
And you assign a far higher prior probability to the event that this thread would negatively reflect on me if seen by a draft board than I do.