I’m coming very late to this but it is also possible that the people forecasting on each of the questions are noticeably different and they have different ideas about AI. Maybe some just don’t know about the other questions. It won’t explain everything but it could be a factor.
Also, it is difficult to keep all your forecasts up to date. You can forget.
I’m coming very late to this but it is also possible that the people forecasting on each of the questions are noticeably different and they have different ideas about AI. Maybe some just don’t know about the other questions. It won’t explain everything but it could be a factor.
Also, it is difficult to keep all your forecasts up to date. You can forget.