I disagree. There is no acausal coordination because eg the reasoning “If everyone thought like me, democracy would fall apart” does not actually influence many people’s choice, ie they would vote due to various social-emotional factors no matter what that reasoning said. It’s just a rationalization.
More precisely, when people say “If everyone thought like me, democracy would fall apart”, it’s not actually the reasoning that it could be interpreted as, it’s a vague emotional appeal to loyalty/the identity of a modern liberal/etc. You can tell because it refers to “everyone” instead of a narrow slice of people, it involves no modelling of the specific counterfactual of MY choice, there’s no general understanding of decision theory that would allow this kind of reasoning to happen and any reasonable model of the average person’s mind doesn’t allow it imo.
Your model is also straining to explain the extra taxes thing. “Voting is normal, paying extra taxes isn’t” is much simpler.
In general, I’m wary of attempts to overly steelman the average person’s behavior, especially when there’s a “cool thing” like decision theory involved. It feels like a Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions kind of thing.
I disagree. There is no acausal coordination because eg the reasoning “If everyone thought like me, democracy would fall apart” does not actually influence many people’s choice, ie they would vote due to various social-emotional factors no matter what that reasoning said. It’s just a rationalization.
More precisely, when people say “If everyone thought like me, democracy would fall apart”, it’s not actually the reasoning that it could be interpreted as, it’s a vague emotional appeal to loyalty/the identity of a modern liberal/etc. You can tell because it refers to “everyone” instead of a narrow slice of people, it involves no modelling of the specific counterfactual of MY choice, there’s no general understanding of decision theory that would allow this kind of reasoning to happen and any reasonable model of the average person’s mind doesn’t allow it imo.
Your model is also straining to explain the extra taxes thing. “Voting is normal, paying extra taxes isn’t” is much simpler.
In general, I’m wary of attempts to overly steelman the average person’s behavior, especially when there’s a “cool thing” like decision theory involved. It feels like a Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions kind of thing.