I think there’s a 50% or higher chance that GPT-4 will be sufficiently accurate that it can be used to teach new skills to autodidacts with basic prompt engineering skills. (I tried on GPT-3 today, and it had a combination of correct and incorrect insights to teach people things)
So, to move down to 5% - GPT-4 is able to ask questions about your current understanding of most undergrad or lower level topics, correct specific misapprehensions you have, and select resources/exercises based on your current level of ability. In other words, GPT-4 can act as a middling-quality professional tutor for most topics.
Honestly, even this seems not impressive enough for 5%. I might think of it as more like 10-20%. Perhaps 5% would be “In addition to this, GPT-4 can provide nontrivial brainstorming advice on graduate-level research questions”. Not enough to solve them on its own, but enough to point you in fruitful directions and improve your workflow.
I think there’s a 50% or higher chance that GPT-4 will be sufficiently accurate that it can be used to teach new skills to autodidacts with basic prompt engineering skills. (I tried on GPT-3 today, and it had a combination of correct and incorrect insights to teach people things)
So, to move down to 5% - GPT-4 is able to ask questions about your current understanding of most undergrad or lower level topics, correct specific misapprehensions you have, and select resources/exercises based on your current level of ability. In other words, GPT-4 can act as a middling-quality professional tutor for most topics.
Honestly, even this seems not impressive enough for 5%. I might think of it as more like 10-20%. Perhaps 5% would be “In addition to this, GPT-4 can provide nontrivial brainstorming advice on graduate-level research questions”. Not enough to solve them on its own, but enough to point you in fruitful directions and improve your workflow.