I estimate that while most of my beliefs are true (otherwise I wouldn’t believe them in the first place),
The former doesn’t follow from the latter: it could be the case that each of your beliefs are your best guess, but you still give them a probability less than .5 if they contain more than a single bit of information.
The former doesn’t follow from the latter: it could be the case that each of your beliefs are your best guess, but you still give them a probability less than .5 if they contain more than a single bit of information.