Explicitly stated AGI timelines by Sam Altman (from Based on its own charter, OpenAI should surrender the race)
No comment on other parts of that blog. Only sharing the table. Make sure to read the quotes, the year is a bit misleading imo.
Date
Predicted AGI Year
Diff (years)
Quote / Claim
Source
May 22, 2023
~2033
~10
“Within the next ten years, AI systems will exceed expert skill level in most domains”
OpenAI Blog — Governance of Superintelligence
Dec 2023
~2030
~6
“By the time the end of this decade rolls around, the world will be in an unbelievably better place”
TIME
Nov 4, 2024
~2029
~5
“I think in 5 years […] people are like, man, the AGI moment came and went”
20VC Podcast
Nov 8, 2024
2025
~1
“What are you excited about in 2025? - AGI”
Futurism
Jan 2025
~4
“AGI will probably get developed during Trump’s term”
Bloomberg
Sep 25, 2025
2030
“By 2030, if we don’t have extraordinarily capable models that do things we can’t, I’d be very surprised”
TechSpot
Oct 28, 2025
2028
~2
“Automated AI research intern by Sep 2026, full AI researcher by Mar 2028”
OfficeChai
Dec 18, 2025
0
“AGI kinda went whooshing by… okay fine, we built AGIs”
Windows Central
Feb 3, 2026
~-1
“We basically have built AGI” (later: “a spiritual statement, not a literal one”)
ALM Corp
Explicitly stated AGI timelines by Sam Altman (from Based on its own charter, OpenAI should surrender the race)
No comment on other parts of that blog. Only sharing the table. Make sure to read the quotes, the year is a bit misleading imo.
Date
Predicted AGI Year
Diff (years)
Quote / Claim
Source
May 22, 2023
~2033
~10
“Within the next ten years, AI systems will exceed expert skill level in most domains”
OpenAI Blog — Governance of Superintelligence
Dec 2023
~2030
~6
“By the time the end of this decade rolls around, the world will be in an unbelievably better place”
TIME
Nov 4, 2024
~2029
~5
“I think in 5 years […] people are like, man, the AGI moment came and went”
20VC Podcast
Nov 8, 2024
2025
~1
“What are you excited about in 2025? - AGI”
Futurism
Jan 2025
~2029
~4
“AGI will probably get developed during Trump’s term”
Bloomberg
Sep 25, 2025
2030
~4
“By 2030, if we don’t have extraordinarily capable models that do things we can’t, I’d be very surprised”
TechSpot
Oct 28, 2025
2028
~2
“Automated AI research intern by Sep 2026, full AI researcher by Mar 2028”
OfficeChai
Dec 18, 2025
2025
0
“AGI kinda went whooshing by… okay fine, we built AGIs”
Windows Central
Feb 3, 2026
2025
~-1
“We basically have built AGI” (later: “a spiritual statement, not a literal one”)
ALM Corp