Thanks, Charbel, excellent analysis! Speaking in my personal capacity, I agree with everything you’re saying here and believe it’s extremely important. The only feature I’d like to try to improve is the specific levels of your ‘policymaker awareness pipeline.’ I think your definitions of these levels jump around somewhat jaggedly and would be more useful and easier to measure if they were a little smoother. Here’s my attempt:
Level 0 (Clueless): Not aware of AI x-risks
Level 1 (Uninterested): Aware of the concept of AI x-risks, but not aware that serious people think they’re a big problem.
Level 2 (Interested): Aware that serious people think AI x-risks are a big problem
Level 3 (Privately Concerned): Privately agree that AI x-risks are a big problem.
Level 4 (Publicly Concerned): On the public record as saying that AI x-risks are a big problem.
Level 5 (Active): Has taken at least one step toward reducing AI x-risks
Level 6 (Committed): Regularly pushes to reduce AI x-risks, even when this costs significant effort or political capital
Level 7 (Champion): Inspires, persuades, or directs other politicians to improve their stances on AI x-risks
Thanks, Charbel, excellent analysis! Speaking in my personal capacity, I agree with everything you’re saying here and believe it’s extremely important. The only feature I’d like to try to improve is the specific levels of your ‘policymaker awareness pipeline.’ I think your definitions of these levels jump around somewhat jaggedly and would be more useful and easier to measure if they were a little smoother. Here’s my attempt:
Level 0 (Clueless): Not aware of AI x-risks
Level 1 (Uninterested): Aware of the concept of AI x-risks, but not aware that serious people think they’re a big problem.
Level 2 (Interested): Aware that serious people think AI x-risks are a big problem
Level 3 (Privately Concerned): Privately agree that AI x-risks are a big problem.
Level 4 (Publicly Concerned): On the public record as saying that AI x-risks are a big problem.
Level 5 (Active): Has taken at least one step toward reducing AI x-risks
Level 6 (Committed): Regularly pushes to reduce AI x-risks, even when this costs significant effort or political capital
Level 7 (Champion): Inspires, persuades, or directs other politicians to improve their stances on AI x-risks
Thanks! Fully agree with this new ladder :)