According to this Nature paper, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), the “global conveyor belt”, is likely to collapse this century (mean 2050, 95% confidence interval is 2025-2095).
Another recent study finds that it is “on tipping course” and predicts that after collapse average February temperatures in London will decrease by 1.5 °C per decade (15 °C over 100 years). Bergen (Norway) February temperatures will decrease by 35 °C. This is a temperature change about an order of magnitude faster than normal global warming (0.2 °C per decade) but in the other direction!
This seems like a big deal? Anyone with more expertise in climate sciences want to weigh in?
According to this Nature paper, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), the “global conveyor belt”, is likely to collapse this century (mean 2050, 95% confidence interval is 2025-2095).
Another recent study finds that it is “on tipping course” and predicts that after collapse average February temperatures in London will decrease by 1.5 °C per decade (15 °C over 100 years). Bergen (Norway) February temperatures will decrease by 35 °C. This is a temperature change about an order of magnitude faster than normal global warming (0.2 °C per decade) but in the other direction!
This seems like a big deal? Anyone with more expertise in climate sciences want to weigh in?