More over, I am skeptical that going on meta-level simplifies the problem to the level that it will be solvable by humans
If I gave the impression in this post that I expect metaphilosophy to be solved before someone builds an AGI, that was far from my intentions. I think this is a small-chance-of-high-return kind of situation, plus I think someone has to try to attack the problem if only to generate evidence that it really is a hard problem, otherwise I don’t know how to convince people to adopt costly social solutions like stopping technological progress. (And actually I don’t expect the evidence to be highly persuasive either, so this amounts to just another small chance of high return.)
What I wrote in an earlier post still describes my overall position:
There is no strong empirical evidence that solving metaphilosophy is superhumanly difficult, simply because not many people have attempted to solve it. But I don’t think that a reasonable prior combined with what evidence we do have (i.e., absence of visible progress or clear hints as to how to proceed) gives much hope for optimism either.
If I gave the impression in this post that I expect metaphilosophy to be solved before someone builds an AGI, that was far from my intentions. I think this is a small-chance-of-high-return kind of situation, plus I think someone has to try to attack the problem if only to generate evidence that it really is a hard problem, otherwise I don’t know how to convince people to adopt costly social solutions like stopping technological progress. (And actually I don’t expect the evidence to be highly persuasive either, so this amounts to just another small chance of high return.)
What I wrote in an earlier post still describes my overall position: