As part of AI 2040, I give updated likelihoods for one particular operationalization here and updated chances of AI takeover here. Note that my views are very sensitive to the operationalization and implementation quality. E.g., a near ideal implementation Plan A might be roughly 2x lower risk.
As part of AI 2040, I give updated likelihoods for one particular operationalization here and updated chances of AI takeover here. Note that my views are very sensitive to the operationalization and implementation quality. E.g., a near ideal implementation Plan A might be roughly 2x lower risk.