You can’t really have a technical “Plan E” because there is approximately no one to implement the plan; in Plan E situations, the focus should be on moving to a higher level of political will and effort on mitigating risk.
There are no employee who could implement Plan E, but is there nothing that non-employees could do?
It’s hard for some output to mitigate risk if no one will implement it. You can try to generate more political will or I suppose you can just add things to the pretraining corpus in the hopes this will help.
You can imagine regimes where external actors are allowed to implement things, but this would move you closer to more like a Plan D or D/E scenario. (These are more like points along a spectrum rather than an exhaustive break down.)
Try to make deals with the AIs (maybe this counts as ‘add things to corpus’)
Try to make deals with the lab (maybe this counts as ‘Move to Plan C/D’)
Try to disrupt the compute supply chain or lab employees
Harden the external environment, d/acc stuff (probably hopeless, but maybe worthwhile on slow takeoff)
YOLO human intelligence enhancement / uploads
Yeah, E seems hard. Especially because from the outside E is indistinguishable from D, and many of the E strategies would be negatively-polarising, hence counterproductive on Plan D.
There are no employee who could implement Plan E, but is there nothing that non-employees could do?
It’s hard for some output to mitigate risk if no one will implement it. You can try to generate more political will or I suppose you can just add things to the pretraining corpus in the hopes this will help.
You can imagine regimes where external actors are allowed to implement things, but this would move you closer to more like a Plan D or D/E scenario. (These are more like points along a spectrum rather than an exhaustive break down.)
Try to make deals with the AIs (maybe this counts as ‘add things to corpus’)
Try to make deals with the lab (maybe this counts as ‘Move to Plan C/D’)
Try to disrupt the compute supply chain or lab employees
Harden the external environment, d/acc stuff (probably hopeless, but maybe worthwhile on slow takeoff)
YOLO human intelligence enhancement / uploads
Yeah, E seems hard. Especially because from the outside E is indistinguishable from D, and many of the E strategies would be negatively-polarising, hence counterproductive on Plan D.