Stop at the first elf plot. If people do not know what their skill level is (or what the future holds) then they guess values near the median. If you do bad (or roll the dice poorly) then you look overconfident / optimistic. This explains almost all of the DK effect.
Can someone tell me what the actual takeaway is here
I don’t mind a fake out but there were so many fake outs I lost the plot
Stop at the first elf plot. If people do not know what their skill level is (or what the future holds) then they guess values near the median. If you do bad (or roll the dice poorly) then you look overconfident / optimistic. This explains almost all of the DK effect.