This is just a definition for the sake of definition, but I think you could define a human as aligned if they could be given an ASI slave and not be an S-risk. I really think that under this definition, the absolute upper bound of “aligned” humans is 5%, and I think it’s probably a lot lower.
I’m more optimistic, in that the upper bound could be as high as 50-60%, but yeah the people in power are unfortunately not part of this, and I’d only trust 25-30% of the population in practice if they had an ASI slave.
So you think that, for >95% of currently living humans, the implementation of their CEV would constitute an S-risk in the sense of being worse than extinction in expectation? This is not at all obvious to me; in what way do you expect their CEVs to prefer net suffering?
This is just a definition for the sake of definition, but I think you could define a human as aligned if they could be given an ASI slave and not be an S-risk. I really think that under this definition, the absolute upper bound of “aligned” humans is 5%, and I think it’s probably a lot lower.
I’m more optimistic, in that the upper bound could be as high as 50-60%, but yeah the people in power are unfortunately not part of this, and I’d only trust 25-30% of the population in practice if they had an ASI slave.
What would it mean for them to have an “ASI slave”? Like having an AI that implements their personal CEV?
Yeah something like that, the ASI is an extension of their will.
So you think that, for >95% of currently living humans, the implementation of their CEV would constitute an S-risk in the sense of being worse than extinction in expectation? This is not at all obvious to me; in what way do you expect their CEVs to prefer net suffering?