oh oops sorry if I already shared that with you, I forgot, didn’t mean to spam.
My actual expectation is that WBE just ain’t gonna happen at all (at least not before ASI), for better or worse. I think the without-reverse-engineering path is impossible, and the with-reverse-engineering path would be possible given infinite time, but would incidentally involve figuring out how to make ASI way before the project is done, and that recipe would leak (or they would try it themselves). Or even more realistically, someone else on Earth would invent ASI first, via an unrelated effort. So I spend very little time thinking about WBE.
You left a comment one a previous post of mine about this but that was almost a year ago I think, so hardly spam.
My perfect very wishful thinking world involves ASI miraculously not happening and normal human neuroscience efforts shifting toward uploading and away from what it is now, which is a lot of wheel spinning and performative science. I do not assign a high probability to either of these. I also feel I am not well informed enough on either to make such sweeping claims.
oh oops sorry if I already shared that with you, I forgot, didn’t mean to spam.
My actual expectation is that WBE just ain’t gonna happen at all (at least not before ASI), for better or worse. I think the without-reverse-engineering path is impossible, and the with-reverse-engineering path would be possible given infinite time, but would incidentally involve figuring out how to make ASI way before the project is done, and that recipe would leak (or they would try it themselves). Or even more realistically, someone else on Earth would invent ASI first, via an unrelated effort. So I spend very little time thinking about WBE.
You left a comment one a previous post of mine about this but that was almost a year ago I think, so hardly spam.
My perfect very wishful thinking world involves ASI miraculously not happening and normal human neuroscience efforts shifting toward uploading and away from what it is now, which is a lot of wheel spinning and performative science. I do not assign a high probability to either of these. I also feel I am not well informed enough on either to make such sweeping claims.