The idea is the faster safety is solved, the faster we can scale capabilities safely, which increases the growth rate of the economy from ~3% to ~100% and makes people immortal. If people want to maximize something like their discounted log(consumption) over the next 100 years, a wartime investment is warranted unless you think we couldn’t solve AI safety well enough to cure aging and automate the economy in a few decades.
I’m definitely on the pessimistic side, but yes I can see that spending more on safety may shorten the timeline for solving death which is probably a good thing if it doesn’t also increase s-risks.
$0 trillion on capabilities and $1 trillion on safety would be equally fine.
The idea is the faster safety is solved, the faster we can scale capabilities safely, which increases the growth rate of the economy from ~3% to ~100% and makes people immortal. If people want to maximize something like their discounted log(consumption) over the next 100 years, a wartime investment is warranted unless you think we couldn’t solve AI safety well enough to cure aging and automate the economy in a few decades.
I’m definitely on the pessimistic side, but yes I can see that spending more on safety may shorten the timeline for solving death which is probably a good thing if it doesn’t also increase s-risks.