I think that if I put a more measured version of myself back into that comment, it has one key difference from your version.
“Pay attention to me and people like me” is a status claim rather than a useful model.
I’d have said “pay attention to a person who incurred social costs by loudly predicting one later-confirmed bad actor, when they incur social costs by loudly predicting another”.
(My denouncing of Geoff drove a wedge between me and several friends, including my then-best friend; my denouncing of the other one drove a wedge between me and my then-wife. Obviously those rifts had much to do with how I handled those relationships, but clearly it wasn’t idle talk from me.)
Otherwise, I think the content of your ITT is about right.
(The emotional tone is off, even after translating from Duncan-speak to me-speak, but that may not be worth going into.)
For the record, I personally count myself 2 for 2.5 on precision. (I got a bad vibe from a third person, but didn’t go around loudly making it known; and they’ve proven to be not a trustworthy person but not nearly as dangerous as I view the other two. I’ll accordingly not name them.)
Thanks for asking about the ITT.
I think that if I put a more measured version of myself back into that comment, it has one key difference from your version.
“Pay attention to me and people like me” is a status claim rather than a useful model.
I’d have said “pay attention to a person who incurred social costs by loudly predicting one later-confirmed bad actor, when they incur social costs by loudly predicting another”.
(My denouncing of Geoff drove a wedge between me and several friends, including my then-best friend; my denouncing of the other one drove a wedge between me and my then-wife. Obviously those rifts had much to do with how I handled those relationships, but clearly it wasn’t idle talk from me.)
Otherwise, I think the content of your ITT is about right.
(The emotional tone is off, even after translating from Duncan-speak to me-speak, but that may not be worth going into.)
For the record, I personally count myself 2 for 2.5 on precision. (I got a bad vibe from a third person, but didn’t go around loudly making it known; and they’ve proven to be not a trustworthy person but not nearly as dangerous as I view the other two. I’ll accordingly not name them.)