If there are more than a few independent short-term extinction scenarios (from any cause) with a probability higher than 1%, then we are in trouble—their combined probability would add up to a significant probability of doom.
As far as resources go, even if we threw 100 times the current budget of MIRI at the problem, that would be $175 million, which is
If there are more than a few independent short-term extinction scenarios (from any cause) with a probability higher than 1%, then we are in trouble—their combined probability would add up to a significant probability of doom.
As far as resources go, even if we threw 100 times the current budget of MIRI at the problem, that would be $175 million, which is
- 0.005% of the U.S. federal budget,
- 54 cents per person living in the U.S., or
- 2 cents per human being.