I meant “realiable agents” in the AI 2027 sense, that is something on the order of being sufficient for automated AI research, leading to much more revenue and investment in the lead-up rather than stalling at ~$100bn per individual training system for multiple years. My point is that it’s not currently knowable if it happens imminently in 2026-2027 or at least a few years later, meaning I don’t expect that evidence exists that distinguishes these possibilities even within the leading AI companies.
I meant “realiable agents” in the AI 2027 sense, that is something on the order of being sufficient for automated AI research, leading to much more revenue and investment in the lead-up rather than stalling at ~$100bn per individual training system for multiple years. My point is that it’s not currently knowable if it happens imminently in 2026-2027 or at least a few years later, meaning I don’t expect that evidence exists that distinguishes these possibilities even within the leading AI companies.