I keep seeing the phrase “if you are going to update update all the way” as an argument against these projection updates.
Basically the argument goes, people should have already expected gpt-3.5 and gpt-4 because those “in the know” 3 years ago used it and knew agi was possible.
For most of us, it was the public release. That crypto scams and AGI news, prior to public access, had the same breathless tone and hype. Direct access is the only way to know the difference between say gpt-4, which works, and IBM Watson, which evidently did not.
So the news we are reacting to is just a few months old.
I keep seeing the phrase “if you are going to update update all the way” as an argument against these projection updates.
Basically the argument goes, people should have already expected gpt-3.5 and gpt-4 because those “in the know” 3 years ago used it and knew agi was possible.
For most of us, it was the public release. That crypto scams and AGI news, prior to public access, had the same breathless tone and hype. Direct access is the only way to know the difference between say gpt-4, which works, and IBM Watson, which evidently did not.
So the news we are reacting to is just a few months old.