Maybe not a normal blog post per se, but AI Impacts did a survey back in 2016 about when AIs would reach certain capabilities. Some narrow tasks have already passed their 10 or 50% median estimate dates and are arguably doable with 2022 technology.
Maybe not a normal blog post per se, but AI Impacts did a survey back in 2016 about when AIs would reach certain capabilities. Some narrow tasks have already passed their 10 or 50% median estimate dates and are arguably doable with 2022 technology.