I feel like the approach of “investigate past trends” has passed the 80⁄20 point of informing our AI timelines, and I’d probably prefer those researchers to orient to new questions that illuminate different facets of the AI strategic landscape.
I specialise in researching this topic. My impression is that barely anyone has looked at past technological trends, neither in academia nor in the LW/EA community. I am generally quite excited about more people looking into this space, because it seems neglected and the kind of topic where EA/LW type of people have a significant edge.
I specialise in researching this topic. My impression is that barely anyone has looked at past technological trends, neither in academia nor in the LW/EA community. I am generally quite excited about more people looking into this space, because it seems neglected and the kind of topic where EA/LW type of people have a significant edge.