For what it’s worth, I thought Mitchell’s hypothesis seemed crazy at first, then looked through user:AspiringKnitter’s comment history and read a number of things that made me update substantially toward it. (Though I found nothing that made it “extremely obvious”, and it’s hard to weigh this sort of evidence against low priors.)
Out of curiosity, what’s your estimate of the likelihood that you’d update substantially toward a similar hypothesis involving other LW users? …involving other users who have identified as theists or partial theists?
For what it’s worth, I thought Mitchell’s hypothesis seemed crazy at first, then looked through user:AspiringKnitter’s comment history and read a number of things that made me update substantially toward it. (Though I found nothing that made it “extremely obvious”, and it’s hard to weigh this sort of evidence against low priors.)
Out of curiosity, what’s your estimate of the likelihood that you’d update substantially toward a similar hypothesis involving other LW users? …involving other users who have identified as theists or partial theists?